Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.287913 0.335417 0.387996 0.450466 0.522626 0.603325 0.700390
2025-03-23 0.221008 0.287960 0.370286 0.478756 0.617716 0.789571 1.018080
2025-03-30 0.170056 0.240299 0.333493 0.465756 0.648198 0.890536 1.236423
2025-04-06 0.135589 0.204840 0.302632 0.450124 0.666198 0.970320 1.429957
2025-04-13 0.111008 0.177792 0.277372 0.435709 0.680077 1.041626 1.615610
2025-04-20 0.096630 0.163027 0.266931 0.440061 0.719838 1.152364 1.869328
2025-04-27 0.089041 0.157444 0.269247 0.463541 0.790726 1.316776 2.222967
2025-05-04 0.080930 0.149533 0.266319 0.477388 0.846705 1.462492 2.561720
2025-05-11 0.072640 0.139927 0.258964 0.482216 0.887195 1.585908 2.875498
2025-05-18 0.064580 0.129448 0.248490 0.479749 0.913854 1.687421 3.160891
2025-05-25 0.057183 0.119083 0.236736 0.473121 0.931568 1.774037 3.427549
2025-06-01 0.051224 0.110634 0.227402 0.469648 0.954254 1.871144 3.722464
2025-06-08 0.044295 0.099355 0.211387 0.451629 0.947824 1.915217 3.926191
2025-06-15 0.042895 0.099575 0.218586 0.481555 1.040595 2.160375 4.549916
2025-06-22 0.037768 0.090861 0.206038 0.468565 1.043576 2.227946 4.824508
2025-06-29 0.033110 0.082486 0.193063 0.452846 1.038601 2.278212 5.067926
2025-07-06 0.029155 0.075143 0.181365 0.438347 1.034287 2.328868 5.316743
2025-07-13 0.026958 0.071720 0.178138 0.442724 1.072526 2.474272 5.786026
2025-07-20 0.026166 0.071693 0.182863 0.466342 1.157582 2.730888 6.528896
2025-07-27 0.024838 0.070085 0.183554 0.480271 1.221336 2.945915 7.198911
2025-08-03 0.023131 0.067214 0.180737 0.485126 1.263671 3.115817 7.781036
2025-08-10 0.021230 0.063515 0.175320 0.482645 1.287448 3.244206 8.276928
2025-08-17 0.019328 0.059526 0.168626 0.475978 1.299816 3.346337 8.719344